Novel Machine Learning Algorithms For Predicting Risks Of Chronic Diseases
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Abstract
Personalized prognostic models have been used for predicting the risk of chronic
newlinediseases, with the adoption of electronic health record (EHR) systems. Most of the
newlineworks in this domain has been on binary classification to predict the onset of one
newlinechronic disease with little attention given to comorbid conditions and mortality
newlineassociated with it. Precision of the prediction model in medical informatics can be
newlineimproved by leveraging the advanced concepts of machine learning and deep learning
newlinealgorithms. To a large extent, this is not easy because of the multiple facets of patient
newlineinformation being encoded in the data. Hence, it is important to derive a correct
newlinerepresentation of the EHR encodings to enable its usage in analytical tasks, efficiently
newlineextract the knowledge from the data and then use that knowledge in machine learning
newlineand deep learning model to get more efficient and accurate prediction of risk of the
newlinechronic disease and clinical outcomes. To address the identified gaps on this context,
newlinethree new approaches are introduced. First, a parameter agnostic framework for
newlinepredicting disease onset using deep learning methods is designed. Then a
newlineHeterogeneous Recurrent Convolution Neural Network (HRCC) is developed. Finally,
newlinea Multi-Level Spatial Coherence Optimization Approach (MLSCO) is modeled and
newlineimplemented for better results.
newlineIn this research work, focus is on the prediction on chronic disease risks. EHR is used
newlinelargely as data source along with other supporting data sets for knowledge extraction
newlineand value mappings. Multiple deep learning techniques are implemented in this
newlineapproach. Through experiments, it was proven that individual feature labeling is low in
newlineaccuracy and performance. Considering several feature variables and rules will improve
newlinethe accuracy and will result in better efficiency for predicting the risk. Evolution of
newlinethese algorithms with multiple experiments results have showed the highest accuracy
newlineof 97.44%. By developing novel algorithm for prediction, a generic framework is
newlinedesigned by combining multiple algorithms, which is used for finding disease
newlineprogression and risk prediction. Therefore, this proposed method and combination of
newlinerules and features performs better in risk prediction of chronic disease.
newline